Held · Bookmarked
1 · 0
portfolio · users
Avg position size
0.1%
of holders' portfolios
13F filers
2
institutions
Market cap
$4.1B
132M shares
52-week range
$12.51 – $33.15
91% from low
Sector
GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS
Exchange
NYSE
CS
P/S (TTM)
1.5
EV / FCF (TTM)
35.2
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
www.geogroup.com| Trader / Portfolio | Conviction |
|---|---|
| Interactive Brokers - XUS ValueLiam | — |
| Institution | Shares | Reported |
|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Technologiesas of 2025-12-31 | 131,691 | $2.1M |
| Bridgewater Associates |
| Execution date | Ratio |
|---|---|
| 2017-04-25 | 3-for-2 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2-for-1 |
| 2006-10-02 | 3-for-2 |
Consensus-seeded revenue, margins, and exit multiples. This is a scenario tool, not investment advice.
Consensus does not cover every selected forecast year. Later assumptions are extrapolated from available analyst estimates.
| Metric | Historical average | My assumptions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year | 5 years | 10 years | Low | Mid | High | |
| ROIC % | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | — | — | — |
| Rev. Growth % | 8.6% | 2.3% | ||||
| Profit Margin % | 9.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | |||
| Free Cash Flow Margin % | -4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | |||
| Exit P/E | — | — | — | |||
| Exit P/FCF | — | — | — | |||
| Desired Annual Return % | — | — | — | |||
At today's price, your expected annual return is +7.6% on the P/E track.
At today's price, your expected annual return is +14.5% on the P/E track.
At today's price, your expected annual return is +20.5% on the P/E track.
| 80,439 |
| $1.4M |
| Year | Est. revenue | Growth | Est. EPS | EPS range | Fwd P/E | # Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3.0B | +15.6% | $1.27 | $1.26–$1.29 | 24.7× | 3 |
| 2027 | $3.3B | +9.0% | $1.79 | $1.72–$1.85 | 17.5× | 2 |
Forward consensus · growth is YoY vs the prior fiscal-year estimate · Fwd P/E at the current price · source: Financial Modeling Prep
Beat consensus in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters
| Reported | Est. EPS | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | $0.29 | $0.37 | +28.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | $0.19 | $0.29 | +52.6% |
| 2026-02-12 | $0.25 | $0.25 | +0.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | $0.22 | $0.25 | +13.6% |
| 2025-08-06 | $0.16 | $0.22 | +37.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | $0.18 | $0.14 | -22.2% |
| 2025-02-27 | $0.21 | $0.13 | -38.1% |
| 2024-11-07 | $0.25 | $0.21 | -16.0% |
| $470M |
| — |
| EVLVWEvolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. | $0.00 | -94.47% | $724380 | — |
| GFAIGuardforce AI Co., Limited | $0.35 | +1.88% | $8M | — |
Source: Financial Modeling Prep · peers by sector/industry
Click to see transaction details on SEC.gov. Form 4s cover trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ owners, due within 2 business days of the trade.
$GEO hopefully, we'll know tomorrow whether there's any other companies that can even compete with geo's buildings..
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$GEO all prisons should be private. States especially with leftist nazi mayors like mumdummy and the vile racist in chicago cant run shit. All they can do is steal. At least private companies can be held accountable.
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$GEO there’s the possibility that we are buying shares of a company that might or might not lock us up in jail. Ironic. In the name of “national security”, they can claim anything and just throw us behind bars. Yeah give me 1000 shares today. And then tomorrow, I walk out and some aggressive ICE agent says where’ my ID and I say I forgot it in my house. Next thing I know words are exchanged and I’m locked up and they won’t let me out …
View on StockTwits ↗$GEO Stock up almost 100% YTD. No volume today. Hardly anyone on this site. No one cares about this stock. My type of investment!
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$DUOT some don’t understand the value I was in $ROOT, $GEO etc super early Those investors know what they are doing We are super early in this as well
View on StockTwits ↗$GEO Please do your own due diligence!!! My comments are just my opinions. Nothing else and not any guarantees.
View on StockTwits ↗$GEO Zoley spoke about this in the last earnings call. It is part of the transcript. The latest DHS contract opp is for the 4 facilities listed on the RFI from July. The existing contracts for those facilities are all ending within the next 4-6 weeks. The opp is for contractor owned and/or government owned facilities. But, those contracts have to be awarded before any sales occur. The opp expires on Sept 18th. I would expect 1-2 week after for DHS to award the contracts. So, that puts the earliest any potential sales happen the first week of Oct. I think I posted that Sept options are risky. Not sure about Oct. Nov should be safe.
View on StockTwits ↗$GEO Patience is a virtue, but damn…what’s taking so long. Let’s put out a PR to give investors an update Mr. Zoley.
View on StockTwits ↗$GEO I've read the various summaries as reported by other MSM outlets. From a GEO and therefor a deportation perspective, Korey really screwed up both. The warehouse idea wasn't fully thought thru. I would suspect that Korey may have received some kind of kickbacks from those deals. The revocation of or reduction in contracts/biz from all DHS vendors, not just Geo, again, just slowed everything down so he allegedly could be in the money flow. I am of the opinion that the deportation numbers would be much higher if Korey/Barbie never ever had anything to do with DHS.
View on StockTwits ↗$GEO Front page WSJ article on Lewandowski/Noem (negative). GEO mentioned in several paragraphs. Should have zero effect on the stock. Just a heads up.
View on StockTwits ↗$GEO ICE Breaks Record, Arrests Nearly 51K Illegal Aliens Across U.S. in August https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2026/09/04/ice-breaks-record-arrests-nearly-51k-illegal-aliens-across-u-s-in-august/ More great news!
View on StockTwits ↗Recent $TICKER stream from stocktwits.com — refreshed every 5 minutes. Sentiment tags are self-reported by posters. Not investment advice.
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