Held · Bookmarked
0 · 0
portfolios · users
Avg position size
—
of holders' portfolios
13F filers
6
institutions
Market cap
$3.7T
7,426M shares
52-week range
$349.20 – $553.72
74% from low
Sector
SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
Exchange
NASDAQ
CS
P/S (TTM)
11.2
EV / FCF (TTM)
57.3
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
www.microsoft.comNo one on the platform currently holds MSFT.
| Institution | Shares | Reported |
|---|---|---|
| Pershing Square Capitalas of 2026-03-31 | 5,654,078 | $2.1B |
| The Baupost Groupas of 2025-12-31 | 1,234,125 | $596.8M |
| Ex-date | Per share | Pay date |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | $0.9100 | 2026-09-10 |
| 2026-05-21 | $0.9100 | 2026-06-11 |
| 2026-02-19 | $0.9100 | 2026-03-12 |
| 2025-11-20 | $0.9100 | 2025-12-11 |
| 2025-08-21 | $0.8300 | 2025-09-11 |
| 2025-05-15 | $0.8300 | 2025-06-12 |
| 2025-02-20 | $0.8300 | 2025-03-13 |
| 2024-11-21 | $0.8300 | 2024-12-12 |
| 2024-08-15 | $0.7500 | 2024-09-12 |
| 2024-05-15 | $0.7500 | 2024-06-13 |
No one on the platform has traded MSFT yet.
Consensus-seeded revenue, margins, and exit multiples. This is a scenario tool, not investment advice.
| Metric | Historical average | My assumptions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year | 5 years | 10 years | Low | Mid | High | |
| ROIC % | 22.7% | 26.7% | 23.2% | — | — | — |
| Rev. Growth % | 17.8% | 14.6% | ||||
| Profit Margin % | 40.3% | 36.6% | 32.3% | |||
| Free Cash Flow Margin % | 20.2% | 27.3% | 29.4% | |||
| Exit P/E | — | — | — | |||
| Exit P/FCF | — | — | — | |||
| Desired Annual Return % | — | — | — | |||
At today's price, your expected annual return is +11.3% on the P/E track.
At today's price, your expected annual return is +18.3% on the P/E track.
At today's price, your expected annual return is +24.4% on the P/E track.
| 1,084,979 |
| $401.6M |
| Third Point LLCas of 2025-12-31 | 925,000 | $447.3M |
| Appaloosa LPas of 2026-03-31 | 90,000 | $33.3M |
| Renaissance Technologiesas of 2026-03-31 | 9,485 | $3.5M |
| 2024-02-14 | $0.7500 | 2024-03-14 |
| 2023-11-15 | $0.7500 | 2023-12-14 |
| Execution date | Ratio |
|---|---|
| 2003-02-18 | 2-for-1 |
Also held through funds
2 more books hold MSFT indirectly · VTI 5.1% of fund, AVUS 4.3% of fund
| Year | Est. revenue | Growth | Est. EPS | EPS range | Fwd P/E | # Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $390.6B | +18.6% | $19.72 | $19.06–$20.54 | 25.4× | 30 |
| 2028 | $466.7B | +19.5% | $23.48 | $22.08–$24.63 | 21.3× | 29 |
| 2029 | $561.6B | +20.3% | $28.60 | $26.55–$32.29 | 17.5× | 14 |
| 2030 | $655.8B | +16.8% | $35.15 | $32.21–$37.86 | 14.2× | 12 |
Forward consensus · growth is YoY vs the prior fiscal-year estimate · Fwd P/E at the current price · source: Financial Modeling Prep
Beat consensus in 8 of the last 8 reported quarters
| Reported | Est. EPS | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | $4.24 | $4.74 | +11.8% |
| 2026-04-29 | $4.06 | $4.27 | +5.2% |
| 2026-01-28 | $3.90 | $4.14 | +6.2% |
| 2025-10-29 | $3.67 | $4.13 | +12.5% |
| 2025-07-30 | $3.37 | $3.65 | +8.3% |
| 2025-04-30 | $3.22 | $3.46 | +7.5% |
| 2025-01-29 | $3.15 | $3.23 | +2.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | $3.10 |
| $3.30 |
| +6.5% |
| $13.6B |
| — |
| GOOGLAlphabet Inc. | $345.38 | +2.03% | $4.18T | — |
| NVDANVIDIA Corporation | $211.25 | -3.23% | $5.12T | — |
Source: Financial Modeling Prep · peers by sector/industry
Click to see transaction details on SEC.gov. Form 4s cover trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ owners, due within 2 business days of the trade.
Hyperscalers are mostly red along with software, while the Chips and AI suppliers are gree. In the past seveal months, I'm often seeing inverse correlation of the following; ■ Chips / AI suppliers to Software / Hyperscalers ■ or Software / Hyperscalers to Chips / AI suppliers $AMZN $GOOGL $META $MSFT $ORCL
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$MSFT expecting dilution this week before end of the week. Under $400.00
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$MSFT | Citizens Reiterates Microsoft at Market Outperform with $550 PT on AI Safety Debate Citizens stays bullish as confidence in Microsoft remains intact despite AI safety and model-pacing concerns. 🔹 Follow @tenet_research for more analyst insights on other tickers.
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Citizens Reiterates $550 Price Target on Microsoft — PT $MSFT https://price-target.com/2026/09/15/173972/
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$MSFT A general complaint about Microsoft: They are considering moving out of Washington State due to high tax policies from people they helped elect. Then in their own browser, they push their high tax left wing policies through the default news they show you. Open anything and check the comments and you will see a bubble of left-wing socialist comments almost exclusively. Seems stupid. Why do they do this?
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$MSFT with a bullish setup... $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX Nice setup. Great opportunity to participate in the next up leg. Good luck. Real-time alerts at https://thetradinganalyst.com
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$NVDA $MU $TSLA $MSFT If you want a “get rich quick scheme “ you are in the wrong place.
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$MSFT Share Price: $505.31 Contract Selected: Sep 23, 2026 $505 Calls Buy Zone: $6.01 – $7.42 Target Zone: $10.73 – $13.11 Potential Upside: 69% ROI Time to Expiration: 8 Days | Updates via https://fxcapta.com/stockinfo/
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$SPY $QQQ $MSFT A careful look at the fundamentals, it is really hard to tie these massive gains to company financial metrics as most if not all pointing to face severe headwinds -Margin Compression: Operating margins are projected to decline to 45.1% due to a $37.5 billion quarterly cap ex run rate for AI infrastructure. -Over-Reliance on OpenAI: 45% of Microsoft’s $625 billion commercial backlog depends on OpenAI, High risk if OpenAI fails to generate sufficient revenue. -Cloud Deceleration: Azure growth has slowed to 37-39%, -Free Cash Flow Erosion: Free cash flow margins have compressed from historical 30-35% to approximately 15% with annual this surging nearly 80% year-over-year. -Company is facing big lawsuits regarding the AI training and open AI misuse of Wikis. -Reports also indicating that they do not use cash flow for AI development buy borrowing and with treasury skyrocketing, the hyper scale projects could end up being a loss.
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$MSFT Every AI valuation assumes capability keeps improving on roughly this trajectory. The people building it spent the weekend arguing it should not. Techdamentals IV Calculator 👇 https://techdamentals.com/v/MSFT Educational, not advice.
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$MSFT Constructive price action https://share.trendspider.com/chart/MSFT/4557203cb8
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$NVDA $MSFT $GOOG $META $AMD people have to spend some time and wrap their head around this problem. The problem is trusting your data to OpenAI or Anthropic. This is going to make the bubble hard to keep up. Companies are not going to trust centralizing data collection. https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/nvidia-palantir-and-others-restrict-advanced-ai-model-usage-over-privacy-concerns-report-claims-paranoia-rising-over-customer-intellectual-property#xenforo-comments-3900391
View on StockTwits ↗Recent $TICKER stream from stocktwits.com — refreshed every 5 minutes. Sentiment tags are self-reported by posters. Not investment advice.