SMCI

$SMCI chatter on StockTwits

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  Ub3r5pAnK@Ub3r5pAnK18m

  $SMCI $DELL $HPE Lol and when you look at financials you realise why theres a mismatch. Its not as simple as "those stocks were more bullish". It comes down to one thing, and thats profit, not the companies profit, but the profit that institutions can make by allowing that mismatch in the first place. They do it to alot of stocks, not just SMCI. You make one look worse it sends the others up, its all psychological. Meanwhile they accumulate the one that looks worse for when the market realises it actually isnt. FUD has a way of unwinding itself, the market just reacts to it short term. SMCI was singled out because of the "smuggling" that companies like DELL were also involved in, 1000 DELL servers in russia, and DELL servers found in china ALONGSIDE SMCI servers. SO no not simply an SMCI issue, it isnt even a SMCI issue, the media just distorts it that way because their incentivised to. Authorities already stated, SMCI IS NOT A TARGET OF THE INVESTIGATION.

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  Taylor@Unveilingtaylor1h

  $HOOD $SMCI $WYFI $RKLB

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  Taylor@Unveilingtaylor1h

  $SMCI $DELL $HPE

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  Congo@Congostockchat1h

  $SMCI Gevening fam. Up late for a snack. Anyways, some interesting analysis. This was their guidance for this quarter. "Business Outlook The Company expects net sales in the range of $11.0 billion and $12.5 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026 ending June 30, 2026, GAAP net income per diluted share of $0.53 to $0.67 and non-GAAP net income per diluted share of $0.65 to $0.79. " Their pre-announcement the other day called for this "Revenues for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026 are estimated to be near the low end of our guidance of $11.0 billion to $12.5 billion. GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are estimated to be in the range of 15% to 17% which is significantly higher than our guidance of 8.2% to 8.4%, primarily due to a favorable customer and product mix. Backlog rose to record levels at the end of fiscal 2026 with total new orders in excess of $60 billion received during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026. These new orders are expected to be delivered over future quarters." Their gross margins last quarter Non-GAAP gross margin of 10.1% They said they expected that to fall somewhat this quarter to the mid 8% range. This is where instead it ROSE to 15% to 17%. Lets call it 16%. That is double what they expected. That can dramatically impact their Non GAAP EPS estimate. It was 65c to 79c I doubt it doubled but it could see upwards of 1.00. This helps a LOT with a key concern of mine. How to finance all this massive new infusion of business. Last quarter they had this. As of March 31, 2026, total cash and cash equivalents was $1.3 billion and total bank debt and convertible notes were $8.8 billion. That is why at 50 i reduced my position and wrote options. I knew dilution had to be coming and i mentioned that on this board. So, lets look at that issue now. Their total dilution will be 6.25B. 1.25B ATM has yet to be completed. It can't start until a day or two after earnings next week. I suspect it will begin VERY soon as they need the money. BUT, this dilution has helped to put them in a better place for sure. In $$ terms it comes close to even matching/paying off all their last quarters debt figure. But there are other sources of money now as well. Those improved margins help cash/cash flow a lot. If they can keep them up there ..lets say at the 12% + range with DCBBS it helps this situation tremendously. Also i think a lot of the new orders are for Vera Rubin. they announced that orders were being taken and also adding AMD and ARM and really promoting DCBBS. Also they are dramatically increasing hiring helping to move systems out the door much faster. Faster = more timely payments. I think we are in good shape but still falling short somewhat. I would like to see the stock move UP, then either a partnership happen of some sort OR some more modest dilution BUT at higher prices. This quarters earnings will be GOOD. Guidance will be fantastic IMO. Our market value remains ridiculously low especially versus the entire sector. I think we're poised for a solid move up. A move to 35-40 will be well deserved and then a move back to 50. What will be fascinating to hear is where they think this improved margin came from. 15-17% was a big jump from their guidance. I suspect its that DCBBS is proving more popular than they thought. That's a great thing because that is 20% + business. In any event, tuesday..we will know more. GL! Gnite. 😁

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  Martin Jeřa@martinjer902h

  $SMCI 3 days till ER, finally rocket launch is coming 🚀🚀🚀

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  calm water@calmwater20002h

  $SMCI As a multi-year holder of SMCI, I just want to cry.

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  calm water@calmwater20002h

  $SMCI — Do you know how crazy these numbers are? YTD gains: $DELL +264% $HPE +124% $SMCI +6% YoY growth: $DELL 49% $HPE 30% $SMCI 101% These numbers are real. Does this make any sense???

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  Ub3r5pAnK@Ub3r5pAnK3h

  $SMCI Theres something that hasnt come to realisation yet, look more into IHC just who they are, and Datavolt too. The crown prince of Sausi Arabia doesnt simply put a company that has a partnership with a fraudulent company in charge of a 1.5gw data centre. Thats irresponsible. So by elimination SMCI is not fraudelent, despite the bears hoping and praying for something like that to actually get proven, sure theres some admin issues that happened in the past, who hasnt had them as a growing company. Its investors that bought when the company was underestimated that made money, not those that waited forthat fear to be proven wrong.

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  JoeDirtay3@JoeDirtay3Bullish3h

  $SMCI one thing I like about this stock is its recession proof

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  JoeDirtay3@JoeDirtay3Bullish4h

  $SMCI the financials are about to go parabolic over the course of the next 1-10 years. This is just the beginning.

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  Samuel J Adams Jr@ChiefStockTraderJrBullish4h

  $SMCI This stock should be $35 and MORE right now. Way undervalued.

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  dude@doublebaggerBullish4h

  $SPCX, $SMCI cursor closes and brings revenue and technology next week. Shares are not for sale.$SMCI brings revenue and profitability back.

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  Moneyman@Moneyman20195h

  $SMCI I believe super micro is primed! The company shares should close closer to the highs imminently

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  No Options, Margins or Shorts@ManBearBullShark5h

  $INTC $NBIS $SMCI $PLTR 🤦🤷‍♀️😂🤮🤌"*other random emojis"* 🤷‍♀️

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  Ub3r5pAnK@Ub3r5pAnK5h

  $SMCI At the end of the day either im an intelligent bot thats going to replace your jobs, or I am an individual that pours more time than they should into research and sharing it. One way or the other this stock is undervalued.

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